The main models used to assess the probability of bankruptcy of telecommunications companies and issues of their optimization.

Semenov Ilia Aleksandrovich

In the context of the expansion and deepening of crisis phenomena in the economic, industrial and technological spheres around the world caused by both political and geo-economic contradictions, objective diagnostics of the probability of bankruptcy of business entities is more relevant than ever. Based on the relevance of the research topic, the object of the study is the telecommunications sector, the subject of the study is a model for diagnosing the probability of bankruptcy, which objectifies the forecast values obtained as the result of the assessment. The purpose of the study is to theoretically formalize optimal models for assessing the probability of bankruptcy of telecommunications companies. Research methodology – theoretical methods of analysis based on generally accepted methods of scientific cognition. Research results: 1. Altman's z-score of the "traditional" type and the optimal type for non-productive sectors is presented; 2. Olson's O-score is presented in the form of a nine-factor linear model that is statistically more reliable in the obtained forecast values.

Keywords:economic crisis, linear model, factors, financial information, public companies, financial recovery.