Forecasting the need for small businesses on the example of meat production in the Nerchinsk region of the TRANS-Baikal territory

Mikhaylova E. A., Trukhina L. I.

The article describes the method of forecasting the needs of the economy of the TRANS-Baikal territory in small businesses in the field of meat production. Forecasts are obtained using two approaches. The first approach is based on the use of only statistical information, the second-on the simultaneous accounting of statistical and expert information. The main stages of forecasting and mathematical apparatus are described. As a result of the analysis, the forecast values of meat production for 2019 were obtained.

Keywords:multivariate forecasting, economic and mathematical model, multiple regression model, expert estimates