Methodacal approach to forecasting indicators of persistence techniques under development

Zavidov Sergey Anatolyevich, Scherbo Evgeny Vladimirovich

The methodical approach of forecasting of indicators of safety of equipment at a development stage which basis includes theoretical provisions of forecasting of reliability of difficult technical systems is offered. The main factors of the set affecting the preservation of equipment are determined. These include environmental factors (humidity, temperature) and storage time. Basic statistical data on the reliability of engineering products has developed a mathematical model enabling a predictive assessment of persistence techniques, taking account of trends in the persistence of analogues depending on the terms and conditions of storage.

Keywords:Persistence, reliability, storage, forecasting, mathematical model, indicator, analog, property, object