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ON THE USE OF FORESIGHT METHODS IN ORDER TO PREDICT THREATS TO INFORMATION SECURITY IN THE MEDIUM TERM

Elin V. M.  (PhD (Pedagogical), Associate Professor of the Department of Information Security, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Associate Professor of the Department of Information Security, V.Ya.Kikot Moscow University of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia)

Tsaregorodtsev A. V.  (Doctor of Sciences (Engineering), Professor, Chief Researcher at the Institute of Digital Technologies, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation)

The article reveals the features of constructing medium-term and long-term forecasts, the formation of risks and threats to information security based on the use of the foresight method based on the combination of expert knowledge using feedback and validation, followed by discussion, study and evaluation by experts. During implementation, threat identification at medium-term stages occurs in priority areas that carry out the transfer of content; consideration of the situation from the point of view of the viability of threats and vulnerabilities. The highest-rated schemes are presented in this article.

Keywords:information security, risks and threats to information security, computer attacks, cyber threats

 

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Citation link:
Elin V. M., Tsaregorodtsev A. V. ON THE USE OF FORESIGHT METHODS IN ORDER TO PREDICT THREATS TO INFORMATION SECURITY IN THE MEDIUM TERM // Современная наука: актуальные проблемы теории и практики. Серия: Естественные и Технические Науки. -2024. -№03. -С. 37-41 DOI 10.37882/2223-2966.2024.03.10
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