CONSTRUCTION AND APPLICATION OF FUZZY COGNITIVE MAPS FOR ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF CAPITAL PROJECTS ON A COMPANY'S FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

Romanov Rodion Modestovich

The paper presents an approach to using fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) for analyzing the impact of capital projects on a company's financial and economic performance. Based on a systematic approach and fuzzy mapping, a predictive model of financial and economic indicators is proposed, taking into account this influence. The developed approach formalizes expert knowledge and establishes causal relationships between key factors such as resource costs, demand dynamics, and currency fluctuations. FCMs support strategic decision-making aimed at optimizing corporate management under high uncertainty. Scenario modeling is explored to assess environmental changes and their effects on financial sustainability.

Keywords:fuzzy cognitive maps, financial and economic indicators, capital projects, strategic management, modeling, uncertainty