DEVELOPMENT OF ALGORITHMS FOR ASSESSING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF LAW ENFORCEMENT ACTIVITIES OF A TERRITORIAL BODY OF THE MINISTRY OF INTERNAL AFFAIRS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION, TAKING INTO ACCOUNT REGIONAL SPECIFICS

Sharov Alexey Sergeevich

The article examines the problem of inefficiency of unified criteria for evaluating law enforcement activities in Russia. It is proved that the mechanical application of general indicators that do not take into account socio-economic, demographic and other regional characteristics leads to a distortion of the real picture of the state of law and order and does not reflect the level of latent crime. The aim of the work is to develop and substantiate methodological approaches to the creation of adaptive assessment algorithms capable of integrating the specifics of a particular territory. The research is based on an integrated approach combining quantitative and qualitative methods. The analysis of official criminal and administrative statistics, as well as socio-economic data on a number of subjects of the Russian Federation is carried out. Mathematical and statistical methods, including multifactorial, regression and cluster analysis, supplemented by expert assessments, were used to identify the interrelationships and the degree of influence of various factors on the dynamics and structure of crime. The analysis revealed that the increase in reported crimes does not always correlate with a real improvement in the operational situation and may be accompanied by an increase in their latency. It has been established that regions form stable clusters where the structure of crime (for example, the predominance of property or street offenses) is closely related to the level of urbanization, the state of the economy and seasonal factors, and not only with the activity of the police. It is concluded that there is a need to move from formal indicators to a flexible assessment system based on adaptive algorithms. Such a system should integrate statistical data with a qualitative analysis of the regional context and take into account latent crime rates, which will allow for a more objective assessment of the effectiveness of the work of the territorial bodies of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and improve the quality of management decisions.

Keywords:effectiveness assessment, law enforcement, regional features, evaluation algorithms, latent crime.