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Applications in-country macroeconomic methodology for forecasting the dynamics of the Russian stock market in the period of recovery from the recession of 2016-2017

Mazaev Nikita Y.  ( Head of Client Operations Department of IC FINAM; Postgraduate student, Plekhanov - Russian University of Economics)

Analysis of the macroeconomic level is one of the key stages in the modern mechanism of portfolio management in stock markets with developed economies. In recent years, the popularization of protectionism, the tightening of currency and commodity warriors have helped to increase the level of independence from external factors and foreign markets, which increases the importance of in-country macroeconomic analysis for countries with developing economy. The stock market of the Russian Federation, thanks to the focus of the fiscal and monetary policies of regulators, also increases its independence from external factors and, based on the long-term policies of the Government of the Russian Federation and the Bank of Russia, independence will only grow in the future. Due to the long historical dependence of the country's economy on the export of raw materials, there is no system of internal macroeconomic analysis that will improve the quality of portfolio management on the Russian stock market in connection with these structural long-term changes. This article presents the effectiveness of the in-country macroeconomic methodology developed by the author on the basis of the Russian stock market for 2016 - 2017 during the period of the Russian economy's exit from a protracted recession.

Keywords:stock market, macroeconomic methodology, descriptive statistics, portfolio management.

 

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Citation link:
Mazaev N. Y. Applications in-country macroeconomic methodology for forecasting the dynamics of the Russian stock market in the period of recovery from the recession of 2016-2017 // Современная наука: актуальные проблемы теории и практики. Серия: ЭКОНОМИКА и ПРАВО. -2018. -№02. -С. 60-64
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